i want to bring in steven moore. he's an editorial writer for the wall street journal and a good friend of the show. christine romans also joins us. she's host of "your bottom line" right here on cnn. i want to shoe yw you a poll of likely voters. in ohio, florida and pennsylvania, 51% say president obama would do a better job on the economy. no incumbent has won the white house without winning florida. ohio and pennsylvania are crucial states. steven, despite the economy right now, this weird optimism, is this the end of romney's chance to win? >> yeah, i think this upsurge in consumer confidence is hurting mitt romney, no question about that, ali. interestingly, i looked at the gallop data on consumer confidence, and they came to an interesting conclusion. they found that the big surge in consumer confidence on the economy was democrats, that democrats have had a huge surge where republicans have actually had a reduction in their confidence, and what they found, by the way, is that normally an increase in consumer